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Posts Tagged MLB betting

MLB Betting – Phillies Have Best Shot To Stop Red Sox In World Series

Mar 23

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lj-smithWhile the Boston Red Sox are the online sports betting favorites to win this year’s World Series, there is one team in particular that should have a good shot at stopping them. The Philadelphia Phillies are looking to bounce back after having their party spoiled by the San Francisco Giants in last year’s postseason, and there is every reason to think that the Phillies have the best chance of getting back to the big game.

Philadelphia welcomed back playoff phenom Cliff Lee to the team less than a year after he led the Texas Rangers to the World Series. Lee struggled somewhat in the championship against the Rangers, but his postseason record speaks for itself as one of the best of all-time. The Phillies should have little problem getting out of the NL East, although the loss of Jayson Werth on offense could slow them down a little bit. With Lee and Roy Halladay, the Phillies should be able to pitch their way past the Giants and St. Louis Cardinals in the playoffs, and they will have the best shot at competing with the new-look Red Sox if they make it to the MLB betting championship. Philadelphia will be more motivated than they year before after having their run ended early by the Giants, and that will provide them with even more motivation.

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How To Predict A Turnaround Team

Aug 21

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baseball_firstbaseBefore the start of every season, MLB betting handicappers try and predict which teams will rise from obscurity and turn their fortunes around. One such example of this was the 2008 Tampa Bay Rays who got off to a hot start and made it to the World Series. Since then they have made the playoffs in back to back seasons. Baseball betting fans base the premise of a turnaround team on a number of factors and today we will be looking at each.

  • Offseason Moves – Baseball teams have shown immaculate turnarounds based on making one or two key acquisitions during the offseason. One such example was the 2009 New York Yankees. They went from missing the playoffs for the first time in over a decade in 2008, to winning the World Series in 2009.

How they did this, was that they acquired two of the best pitchers in baseball at the time to anchor relatively overhauled starting rotation. As well they acquired one of the premier bats in the league as Mark Teixeira took over for an aging Jason Giambi. The three moves paid dividends as the Yankees not only returned to the post season, but also to the post championship parade.

  • One Run Games – The majority of teams that are on the cusp of turning their fortunes around are those that lost a high percentage of one run games one season. For instance since 2004, 32 teams have had a 60 percent win or loss ratio in one run games. However, of those 32 teams, 14 that had 60 percent losing efforts, bounced back the following season to win the close games.

Since 2008, four of the teams taken in the 2004 survey, the Tampa Bay Rays, San Diego Padres, Atlanta Braves and Seattle Mariners have all been turn around teams. Of the four, only the Mariners have yet to make it to the post season.

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Baseball Favorite Betting System

Aug 14

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mlb1MLB betting is one of the trickiest niches to develop a consistent formula for, as there are more winning and losing streaks in baseball than in any other major sport. Sports betting fans have discovered that although formulas are difficult in baseball, they can still make the biggest profit at the end of the season. Today we look at the baseball favorite betting system.

In essence, the good teams in baseball are those that can limit the losing streaks and overwhelm with long consistent winning streaks. Since the system was created, it has an over 500 average winning percentage. Here is how it works:

Basically what you want to do is bet on any team with a winning percentage of .470 or greater, with a moneyline of -110 or higher as the home team and lost its last three games. Last year we found that team’s in this specific situation went 24 and 13. However we also found that of the 13 losing teams, nine ended up winning the very next game after the one that worked in the situation above.

After the system lost on the first premise, fans that bet on their home team to rebound in the second game, went 33 and 17. Meaning to suggest that teams with a .470 or greater win percentage had little difficulty if any winning at least one home game in a given series.

Some fans enjoy backing a team with a .470 or higher win percentage regardless of the three game losing streaks. Instead they arrange their baseball favorite betting system in a double up manner in which they back a team over a bigger span than three games.

However, the double up system is rather risky, as leaning on a team enduring a losing streak, can see you lose most of your profit. The reason for this is that you are investing so much on the team winning that you would actually be better off focusing on another team that endured the three game losing streaks, prior to becoming the home favorite at – 110.

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How To Bet Baseball

Aug 13

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baseball2Looking for an easy sport to make a profit off of? Well look no further than MLB betting, as most baseball fans will tell you that in a sport with such a long season turning a profit is easier than it looks. Nevertheless, even in such a sport which can make you a winner in the long run, not many breeders cup betting fans bet on baseball. The reason for this is because they are unfamiliar with what ways you can wager. Here are the three essential ways to gamble on baseball.

1.   Moneyline – The moneyline is the most common wager in all of sports. Essentially to bet the favorite you have to risk more money to get back less. Conversely to bet the underdog you bet less to get more. In baseball, because each team plays a series, the moneyline is dependent on the result of the game prior. For instance the Yankees may be favored against the Blue Jays at + 200 in the first game, but after losing that game, they may drop to a + 180 favorite.

2.   The Run Line – Basically, the run line wager is the love child between the point spread and moneyline. In essence, the run line operates on one and a half runs per game spread. Here is how it appears:

Kansas City + 1.5 – 125
Yankees – 1.5 +105

People wagering on the Royals are required to risk $125 to get back $100 specifically because they have a one and a half run advantage. Fundamentally, fans betting the Royals can still win the game if the Royals lose by one run, because they wagered on one and a half runs.

3.   Over/ Under Totals – The over / under in baseball is similar to the other major sports in that you are guessing the total amount of runs scored to be higher or lower then what the bookie predicts. Yet the one stipulation attached to a baseball over / under is that you will have to risk more money to prove your wager right.

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